Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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JPMorgan UK Small Cap Growth & Income Plc (JUGI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.44 - $4.92$4.17
Multi-Stage$5.64 - $6.18$5.90
Blended Fair Value$5.03
Current Price$3.07
Upside63.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS32.70%0.00%0.170.050.040.040.040.040.040.030.020.00
YoY Growth--228.48%21.06%3.63%0.00%-0.14%9.75%28.22%61.73%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.51%1.85%1.42%1.00%1.76%1.78%1.53%1.54%1.18%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.536.583.95
Cash Retained (M)24.6324.6324.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.53-6.58-3.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.1018.0520.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)105.39105.39105.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.170.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.170.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.400.440.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.44$4.17$4.92
Upside / Downside12.01%35.67%60.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52.6652.1351.6151.1050.5850.0851.58
Payout Ratio53.22%60.58%67.93%75.29%82.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.0331.5835.0638.4741.8145.0747.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.5828.8729.16
Year 2 PV (M)28.7129.3029.89
Year 3 PV (M)28.5129.3930.29
Year 4 PV (M)28.0329.1930.39
Year 5 PV (M)27.3528.7730.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)452.88476.46501.02
Equity Value (M)594.06621.99651.01
Shares Outstanding (M)105.39105.39105.39
Fair Value$5.64$5.90$6.18
Upside / Downside83.62%92.25%101.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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