Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $14.78 - $22.15 | $18.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $29.04 - $31.93 | $30.46 |
| Blended Fair Value | $24.37 | |
| Current Price | $11.00 | |
| Upside | 121.53% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 42.37% | -12.57% | 607.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.36% | 5.87% | 5.32% | 0.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 894.68 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 403.32 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 491.36 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 178.94 | 111.83 | 67.10 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 491.36 | 491.36 | 491.36 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -178.94 | -111.83 | -67.10 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 312.43 | 379.53 | 424.26 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 504.48 | 504.48 | 504.48 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.42 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.40% | 7.40% | 7.40% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $14.78 | $18.28 | $22.15 |
| Upside / Downside | 34.40% | 66.17% | 101.41% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 894.68 | 885.73 | 876.87 | 868.10 | 859.42 | 850.83 | 876.35 |
| Payout Ratio | 45.08% | 54.06% | 63.05% | 72.03% | 81.02% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 403.32 | 478.86 | 552.85 | 625.31 | 696.27 | 765.75 | 810.63 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.40% | 7.40% | 7.40% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 441.34 | 445.84 | 450.35 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 469.61 | 479.25 | 488.98 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 489.55 | 504.69 | 520.14 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 502.40 | 523.22 | 544.68 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 509.24 | 535.76 | 563.37 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 12,239.29 | 12,876.62 | 13,540.22 |
| Equity Value (M) | 14,651.44 | 15,365.38 | 16,107.75 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 504.48 | 504.48 | 504.48 |
| Fair Value | $29.04 | $30.46 | $31.93 |
| Upside / Downside | 164.03% | 176.89% | 190.27% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |