Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $20.51 - $29.52 | $24.91 |
| Multi-Stage | $33.14 - $36.40 | $34.74 |
| Blended Fair Value | $29.82 | |
| Current Price | $7.50 | |
| Upside | 297.64% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -6.77% | 0.00% | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -6.97% | -15.92% | -10.94% | 1.87% | -0.73% | 502.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.24% | 5.29% | 5.57% | 6.04% | 5.40% | 5.86% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 25.51 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 6.84 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 18.67 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 5.10 | 3.19 | 1.91 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 18.67 | 18.67 | 18.67 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -5.10 | -3.19 | -1.91 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 13.57 | 15.48 | 16.76 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 8.79 | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1.54 | 1.76 | 1.91 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.78 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1.54 | 1.76 | 1.91 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.32 | 2.54 | 2.69 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $20.51 | $24.91 | $29.52 |
| Upside / Downside | 173.51% | 232.13% | 293.63% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 25.51 | 25.26 | 25.01 | 24.76 | 24.51 | 24.26 | 24.99 |
| Payout Ratio | 26.82% | 39.45% | 52.09% | 64.73% | 77.36% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 6.84 | 9.97 | 13.03 | 16.02 | 18.96 | 21.84 | 23.12 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 9.04 | 9.13 | 9.23 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 10.72 | 10.94 | 11.17 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 11.97 | 12.34 | 12.72 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 12.85 | 13.38 | 13.93 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 13.43 | 14.13 | 14.86 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 233.13 | 245.27 | 257.91 |
| Equity Value (M) | 291.15 | 305.20 | 319.81 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 8.79 | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| Fair Value | $33.14 | $34.74 | $36.40 |
| Upside / Downside | 341.82% | 363.14% | 385.31% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |