Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $158.40 - $420.18 | $242.20 |
| Multi-Stage | $107.97 - $117.99 | $112.89 |
| Blended Fair Value | $177.54 | |
| Current Price | $68.75 | |
| Upside | 158.25% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.63% | 8.97% | 1.32 | 1.26 | 1.21 | 1.17 | 1.12 | 1.10 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 4.90% | 3.81% | 3.48% | 4.16% | 1.83% | 38.45% | 13.77% | 10.17% | 2.74% | 10.80% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.09% | 2.25% | 2.83% | 2.77% | 2.42% | 4.10% | 2.03% | 1.80% | 1.79% | 2.51% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 420.49 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 87.06 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 333.43 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 84.10 | 52.56 | 31.54 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 333.43 | 333.43 | 333.43 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -84.10 | -52.56 | -31.54 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 249.33 | 280.87 | 301.90 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 62.27 | 62.27 | 62.27 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 4.00 | 4.51 | 4.85 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 4.00 | 4.51 | 4.85 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 5.40 | 5.91 | 6.25 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $158.40 | $242.20 | $420.18 |
| Upside / Downside | 130.39% | 252.30% | 511.17% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 420.49 | 447.83 | 476.93 | 507.93 | 540.95 | 576.11 | 593.40 |
| Payout Ratio | 20.70% | 34.56% | 48.42% | 62.28% | 76.14% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 87.06 | 154.78 | 230.94 | 316.35 | 411.88 | 518.50 | 548.89 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 140.54 | 141.88 | 143.21 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 190.41 | 194.03 | 197.69 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 236.82 | 243.62 | 250.55 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 279.98 | 290.74 | 301.82 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 320.02 | 335.48 | 351.53 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 5,555.57 | 5,823.91 | 6,102.51 |
| Equity Value (M) | 6,723.34 | 7,029.66 | 7,347.31 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 62.27 | 62.27 | 62.27 |
| Fair Value | $107.97 | $112.89 | $117.99 |
| Upside / Downside | 57.04% | 64.20% | 71.62% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |