Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc. (HSII)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Staffing & Employment ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.69 - $32.15$25.26
Multi-Stage$25.33 - $27.75$26.52
Blended Fair Value$25.89
Current Price$49.77
Upside-47.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.43%2.74%0.610.590.590.550.540.540.480.480.470.47
YoY Growth--3.08%0.57%6.47%1.13%1.01%12.57%0.69%1.57%-0.36%1.29%
Dividend Yield--1.42%1.81%1.93%1.39%1.53%2.40%1.21%1.52%1.78%1.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.414.632.78
Cash Retained (M)24.1824.1824.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.41-4.63-2.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.7719.5521.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.2421.2421.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.921.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.921.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.61
WACC / Discount Rate8.73%8.73%8.73%
Growth Rate1.53%2.53%3.53%
Fair Value$19.69$25.26$32.15
Upside / Downside-60.44%-49.25%-35.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.0537.9938.9539.9440.9541.9943.24
Payout Ratio34.74%45.79%56.85%67.90%78.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.8717.4022.1427.1232.3337.7940.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.73%8.73%8.73%
Growth Rate1.53%2.53%3.53%
Year 1 PV (M)15.8416.0016.16
Year 2 PV (M)18.3718.7319.10
Year 3 PV (M)20.4821.1021.72
Year 4 PV (M)22.2423.1324.05
Year 5 PV (M)23.6824.8726.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)437.58459.56482.41
Equity Value (M)538.19563.38589.53
Shares Outstanding (M)21.2421.2421.24
Fair Value$25.33$26.52$27.75
Upside / Downside-49.10%-46.71%-44.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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