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Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.69 - $14.95$12.13
Multi-Stage$12.19 - $13.34$12.76
Blended Fair Value$12.44
Current Price$52.73
Upside-76.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.64%-11.05%0.360.350.350.350.350.350.330.310.320.36
YoY Growth--0.85%0.85%0.86%0.00%0.65%4.74%7.24%-4.50%-10.46%-68.72%
Dividend Yield--1.11%0.79%0.54%0.44%0.48%0.98%0.71%0.57%0.89%1.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.764.232.54
Cash Retained (M)21.8021.8021.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.76-4.23-2.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.0417.5819.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.3533.3533.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.530.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.530.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$9.69$12.13$14.95
Upside / Downside-81.63%-77.00%-71.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.8034.5835.3736.1937.0237.8739.01
Payout Ratio35.50%46.40%57.30%68.20%79.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.0016.0420.2724.6829.2834.0836.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)14.4714.6214.76
Year 2 PV (M)16.4916.8217.15
Year 3 PV (M)18.1118.6519.21
Year 4 PV (M)19.3820.1620.96
Year 5 PV (M)20.3521.3822.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)317.83333.83350.47
Equity Value (M)406.65425.46444.99
Shares Outstanding (M)33.3533.3533.35
Fair Value$12.19$12.76$13.34
Upside / Downside-76.88%-75.81%-74.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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