Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $502.15 - $2,525.11 | $1,043.33 |
| Multi-Stage | $281.53 - $307.55 | $294.30 |
| Blended Fair Value | $668.82 | |
| Current Price | $118.49 | |
| Upside | 464.45% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 9.28% | 0.00% | 6.73 | 6.37 | 8.72 | 8.37 | 5.03 | 4.32 | 4.03 | 4.02 | 4.19 | 4.19 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 5.70% | -26.94% | 4.10% | 66.41% | 16.52% | 7.11% | 0.30% | -4.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.52% | 6.43% | 10.76% | 11.09% | 7.63% | 7.85% | 4.98% | 5.62% | 6.65% | 8.22% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,790.23 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2,095.25 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,694.98 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 758.05 | 473.78 | 284.27 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,694.98 | 1,694.98 | 1,694.98 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -758.05 | -473.78 | -284.27 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 936.94 | 1,221.20 | 1,410.72 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 298.52 | 298.52 | 298.52 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 3.14 | 4.09 | 4.73 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 7.02 | 7.02 | 7.02 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 3.14 | 4.09 | 4.73 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 10.16 | 11.11 | 11.74 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.63% | 7.63% | 7.63% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $502.15 | $1,043.33 | $2,525.11 |
| Upside / Downside | 323.79% | 780.53% | 2,031.07% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,790.23 | 4,036.60 | 4,298.98 | 4,578.41 | 4,876.01 | 5,192.95 | 5,348.74 |
| Payout Ratio | 55.28% | 62.22% | 69.17% | 76.11% | 83.06% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2,095.25 | 2,511.74 | 2,973.52 | 3,484.73 | 4,049.82 | 4,673.65 | 4,947.58 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.63% | 7.63% | 7.63% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2,311.68 | 2,333.59 | 2,355.51 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,518.71 | 2,566.68 | 2,615.11 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,716.61 | 2,794.60 | 2,874.06 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,905.68 | 3,017.43 | 3,132.36 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 3,086.19 | 3,235.25 | 3,390.02 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 70,501.39 | 73,906.64 | 77,442.21 |
| Equity Value (M) | 84,040.27 | 87,854.19 | 91,809.27 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 298.52 | 298.52 | 298.52 |
| Fair Value | $281.53 | $294.30 | $307.55 |
| Upside / Downside | 137.60% | 148.38% | 159.56% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |