Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

GenusPlus Group Limited (GNP.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.74 - $59.78$56.02
Multi-Stage$36.68 - $40.26$38.43
Blended Fair Value$47.23
Current Price$4.01
Upside1,077.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS29.28%0.00%0.020.020.020.020.000.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--25.00%11.72%13.60%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.96%1.56%1.21%0.00%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.936.834.10
Cash Retained (M)46.6346.6346.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.93-6.83-4.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.7139.8042.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)181.75181.75181.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.220.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.220.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate0.99%0.99%0.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.74$56.02$59.78
Upside / Downside1,165.31%1,297.05%1,390.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.6358.1861.9665.9970.2874.8577.10
Payout Ratio14.64%29.71%44.78%59.86%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.0017.2927.7539.5052.6667.3671.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.99%0.99%0.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9617.1217.28
Year 2 PV (M)26.7027.2127.72
Year 3 PV (M)37.2838.3539.44
Year 4 PV (M)48.7550.6252.55
Year 5 PV (M)61.1764.1267.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,475.016,787.767,112.47
Equity Value (M)6,665.856,985.177,316.64
Shares Outstanding (M)181.75181.75181.75
Fair Value$36.68$38.43$40.26
Upside / Downside814.62%858.43%903.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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