Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $19.08 - $29.91 | $24.05 |
| Multi-Stage | $46.62 - $51.33 | $48.93 |
| Blended Fair Value | $36.49 | |
| Current Price | $8.96 | |
| Upside | 307.27% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -50.13% | 85.04% | 100.13% | -24.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.74% | 6.44% | 3.33% | 4.68% | 5.92% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 9.80 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 4.98 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 4.82 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1.96 | 1.22 | 0.73 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 4.82 | 4.82 | 4.82 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1.96 | -1.22 | -0.73 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 2.86 | 3.60 | 4.09 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 4.98 | 4.98 | 4.98 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.57 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.57 | 0.72 | 0.82 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.57 | 1.72 | 1.82 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.08% | 6.08% | 6.08% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $19.08 | $24.05 | $29.91 |
| Upside / Downside | 112.91% | 168.47% | 233.82% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 9.80 | 9.70 | 9.60 | 9.51 | 9.41 | 9.32 | 9.60 |
| Payout Ratio | 50.80% | 58.64% | 66.48% | 74.32% | 82.16% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 4.98 | 5.69 | 6.38 | 7.07 | 7.73 | 8.39 | 8.88 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.08% | 6.08% | 6.08% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 5.31 | 5.36 | 5.42 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 5.56 | 5.67 | 5.79 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 5.74 | 5.92 | 6.10 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 5.86 | 6.11 | 6.36 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 5.93 | 6.24 | 6.56 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 203.89 | 214.51 | 225.56 |
| Equity Value (M) | 232.29 | 243.81 | 255.79 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 4.98 | 4.98 | 4.98 |
| Fair Value | $46.62 | $48.93 | $51.33 |
| Upside / Downside | 420.28% | 446.07% | 472.89% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |