Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $31.97 - $73.92 | $46.76 |
| Multi-Stage | $24.83 - $27.11 | $25.95 |
| Blended Fair Value | $36.36 | |
| Current Price | $18.85 | |
| Upside | 92.87% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 6.72% | 7.75% | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.79% | 11.11% | 12.33% | 2.96% | 6.87% | 9.05% | 2.14% | 2.22% | 5.67% | 26.64% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.18% | 3.07% | 2.65% | 2.84% | 3.19% | 2.64% | 2.63% | 2.57% | 2.50% | 2.72% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 14.78 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 5.88 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 8.91 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 2.96 | 1.85 | 1.11 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 8.91 | 8.91 | 8.91 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -2.96 | -1.85 | -1.11 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 5.95 | 7.06 | 7.80 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 9.53 | 9.53 | 9.53 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.62 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.62 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.24 | 1.36 | 1.44 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.02% | 6.02% | 7.02% |
| Fair Value | $31.97 | $46.76 | $73.92 |
| Upside / Downside | 69.58% | 148.08% | 292.13% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 14.78 | 15.67 | 16.62 | 17.62 | 18.68 | 19.80 | 20.40 |
| Payout Ratio | 39.75% | 49.80% | 59.85% | 69.90% | 79.95% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 5.88 | 7.81 | 9.95 | 12.32 | 14.93 | 17.82 | 18.87 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.02% | 6.02% | 7.02% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 7.09 | 7.16 | 7.22 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 8.20 | 8.36 | 8.51 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 9.22 | 9.48 | 9.75 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 10.15 | 10.54 | 10.94 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 11.00 | 11.53 | 12.09 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 190.92 | 200.19 | 209.81 |
| Equity Value (M) | 236.58 | 247.26 | 258.33 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 9.53 | 9.53 | 9.53 |
| Fair Value | $24.83 | $25.95 | $27.11 |
| Upside / Downside | 31.71% | 37.66% | 43.83% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |