Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1.14 - $1.64 | $1.39 |
| Multi-Stage | $1.35 - $1.47 | $1.41 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1.40 | |
| Current Price | $9.88 | |
| Upside | -85.84% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -0.58% | 2.80% | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.09 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -0.14% | 0.42% | 0.57% | -1.32% | -2.40% | -2.89% | -6.14% | -8.19% | 308.23% | -60.28% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.28% | 0.91% | 0.94% | 1.96% | 0.60% | 0.42% | 0.52% | 0.83% | 1.22% | 0.53% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 4.95 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2.32 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2.63 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 0.99 | 0.62 | 0.37 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2.63 | 2.63 | 2.63 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -0.99 | -0.62 | -0.37 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1.64 | 2.01 | 2.26 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 30.84 | 30.84 | 30.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 12.62% | 12.62% | 12.62% |
| Growth Rate | 1.27% | 2.27% | 3.27% |
| Fair Value | $1.14 | $1.39 | $1.64 |
| Upside / Downside | -88.41% | -85.96% | -83.41% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 4.95 | 5.06 | 5.17 | 5.29 | 5.41 | 5.53 | 5.70 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.85% | 55.48% | 64.11% | 72.74% | 81.37% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2.32 | 2.81 | 3.32 | 3.85 | 4.40 | 4.98 | 5.27 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 12.62% | 12.62% | 12.62% |
| Growth Rate | 1.27% | 2.27% | 3.27% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2.47 | 2.49 | 2.52 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2.56 | 2.61 | 2.67 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2.62 | 2.69 | 2.77 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2.63 | 2.74 | 2.85 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2.62 | 2.75 | 2.89 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 28.79 | 30.24 | 31.75 |
| Equity Value (M) | 41.69 | 43.53 | 45.44 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 30.84 | 30.84 | 30.84 |
| Fair Value | $1.35 | $1.41 | $1.47 |
| Upside / Downside | -86.32% | -85.71% | -85.09% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |