Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Dusit Thani Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (DREIT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - Hotel & MotelSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.65 - $83.66$38.74
Multi-Stage$9.94 - $10.84$10.38
Blended Fair Value$24.56
Current Price$4.90
Upside401.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.57%-0.51%0.400.600.390.330.200.240.180.000.260.39
YoY Growth---32.99%54.71%18.11%60.71%-16.02%39.01%0.00%-100.00%-31.34%-8.97%
Dividend Yield--7.89%12.35%6.52%5.87%4.52%6.69%3.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)299.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)295.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.8637.4122.45
Cash Retained (M)4.024.024.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.86-37.41-22.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)-55.84-33.39-18.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)711.50711.50711.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.05-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.05-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.65$38.74$83.66
Upside / Downside260.16%690.70%1,607.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)299.29318.74339.46361.53385.02410.05422.35
Payout Ratio98.66%96.93%95.19%93.46%91.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)295.27308.95323.15337.89353.19369.05390.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)284.66287.36290.06
Year 2 PV (M)274.34279.57284.84
Year 3 PV (M)264.31271.90279.63
Year 4 PV (M)254.56264.35274.42
Year 5 PV (M)245.08256.92269.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,750.546,028.296,316.67
Equity Value (M)7,073.507,388.397,714.84
Shares Outstanding (M)711.50711.50711.50
Fair Value$9.94$10.38$10.84
Upside / Downside102.89%111.92%121.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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