Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Duta Pertiwi Nusantara Tbk (DPNS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$141.92 - $197.66$169.79
Multi-Stage$440.78 - $488.22$464.01
Blended Fair Value$316.90
Current Price$304.00
Upside4.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.88%-6.19%9.6614.4814.240.002.755.512.745.544.5713.71
YoY Growth---33.33%1.72%0.00%-100.00%-50.01%100.78%-50.49%21.25%-66.67%-25.01%
Dividend Yield--4.64%3.34%3.65%0.00%0.99%2.84%0.84%1.58%1.15%4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,314.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,598.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,716.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,662.901,039.32623.59
Cash Retained (M)6,716.206,716.206,716.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,662.90-1,039.32-623.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,053.305,676.896,092.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)331.13331.13331.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.2617.1418.40
LTM Dividend per Share4.834.834.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.2617.1418.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.0921.9723.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-7.01%-6.01%-5.01%
Fair Value$141.92$169.79$197.66
Upside / Downside-53.32%-44.15%-34.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,314.527,815.137,345.746,904.536,489.836,100.036,283.04
Payout Ratio19.22%33.38%47.53%61.69%75.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,598.322,608.583,491.724,259.364,922.195,490.035,811.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-7.01%-6.01%-5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)2,431.162,457.302,483.44
Year 2 PV (M)3,032.893,098.473,164.75
Year 3 PV (M)3,448.023,560.463,675.31
Year 4 PV (M)3,713.583,875.914,043.51
Year 5 PV (M)3,860.284,072.344,293.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)129,469.07136,581.57144,003.28
Equity Value (M)145,954.99153,646.05161,663.91
Shares Outstanding (M)331.13331.13331.13
Fair Value$440.78$464.01$488.22
Upside / Downside44.99%52.63%60.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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