Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Deyaar Development PJSC (DEYAAR.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.25 - $4.84$3.21
Multi-Stage$3.33 - $3.66$3.49
Blended Fair Value$3.35
Current Price$0.99
Upside238.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)536.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)317.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.2767.0440.22
Cash Retained (M)317.53317.53317.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.27-67.04-40.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)210.27250.49277.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,375.844,375.844,375.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate1.77%2.77%3.77%
Fair Value$2.25$3.21$4.84
Upside / Downside127.57%224.66%389.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)536.33551.16566.40582.06598.16614.70633.14
Payout Ratio40.79%50.64%60.48%70.32%80.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.79279.08342.54409.29479.48553.23585.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate1.77%2.77%3.77%
Year 1 PV (M)260.25262.80265.36
Year 2 PV (M)297.86303.74309.68
Year 3 PV (M)331.89341.77351.84
Year 4 PV (M)362.56377.02391.91
Year 5 PV (M)390.09409.64429.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,927.8713,575.6514,249.15
Equity Value (M)14,570.5115,270.6215,997.90
Shares Outstanding (M)4,375.844,375.844,375.84
Fair Value$3.33$3.49$3.66
Upside / Downside236.34%252.50%269.29%

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