Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.91 - $86.66$72.23
Multi-Stage$75.73 - $82.92$79.26
Blended Fair Value$75.75
Current Price$162.01
Upside-53.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.811.521.370.000.000.003.030.000.000.00
YoY Growth--18.94%11.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.91%1.22%3.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%8.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,210.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,424.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,786.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,042.00651.25390.75
Cash Retained (M)3,786.003,786.003,786.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,042.00-651.25-390.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,744.003,134.753,395.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)704.76704.76704.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.894.454.82
LTM Dividend per Share2.022.022.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.894.454.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.916.476.84
WACC / Discount Rate10.50%10.50%10.50%
Growth Rate0.42%1.42%2.42%
Fair Value$58.91$72.23$86.66
Upside / Downside-63.64%-55.41%-46.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,210.005,283.765,358.575,434.445,511.385,589.415,757.10
Payout Ratio27.33%39.87%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,424.002,106.412,807.853,528.744,269.475,030.475,325.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.50%10.50%10.50%
Growth Rate0.42%1.42%2.42%
Year 1 PV (M)1,887.491,906.291,925.09
Year 2 PV (M)2,254.562,299.682,345.26
Year 3 PV (M)2,538.922,615.532,693.67
Year 4 PV (M)2,752.632,863.932,978.57
Year 5 PV (M)2,906.213,053.833,207.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,033.5843,117.8745,286.00
Equity Value (M)53,373.4055,857.1358,435.97
Shares Outstanding (M)704.76704.76704.76
Fair Value$75.73$79.26$82.92
Upside / Downside-53.25%-51.08%-48.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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