Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $7.44 - $10.86 | $9.09 |
| Multi-Stage | $12.71 - $14.00 | $13.34 |
| Blended Fair Value | $11.22 | |
| Current Price | $20.35 | |
| Upside | -44.88% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -76.96% | -52.53% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.96 | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.82 | 2.32 | 2.28 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 3.82% | -85.21% | -64.67% | -97.63% | -49.42% | 2.61% | 1.93% | -21.59% | 1.92% | 7.11% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.20% | 10.65% | 17.06% | 9.42% | 9.33% | 7.40% | 7.11% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 109.24 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 0.05 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 109.20 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 21.85 | 13.66 | 8.19 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 109.20 | 109.20 | 109.20 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -21.85 | -13.66 | -8.19 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 87.35 | 95.54 | 101.00 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 109.94 | 109.94 | 109.94 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.79 | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.79 | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.79 | 0.87 | 0.92 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.26% | 8.26% | 8.26% |
| Growth Rate | -2.19% | -1.19% | -0.19% |
| Fair Value | $7.44 | $9.09 | $10.86 |
| Upside / Downside | -63.44% | -55.32% | -46.64% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 109.24 | 107.94 | 106.65 | 105.38 | 104.12 | 102.88 | 105.96 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.04% | 18.03% | 36.02% | 54.02% | 72.01% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 0.05 | 19.46 | 38.42 | 56.92 | 74.97 | 92.59 | 98.02 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.26% | 8.26% | 8.26% |
| Growth Rate | -2.19% | -1.19% | -0.19% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 17.80 | 17.98 | 18.16 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 32.12 | 32.78 | 33.45 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 43.52 | 44.87 | 46.24 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 52.41 | 54.59 | 56.83 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 59.19 | 62.27 | 65.49 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,192.20 | 1,254.41 | 1,319.19 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,397.24 | 1,466.91 | 1,539.37 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 109.94 | 109.94 | 109.94 |
| Fair Value | $12.71 | $13.34 | $14.00 |
| Upside / Downside | -37.55% | -34.43% | -31.20% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |