Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1.72 - $2.66 | $2.16 |
| Multi-Stage | $4.04 - $4.44 | $4.24 |
| Blended Fair Value | $3.20 | |
| Current Price | $2.24 | |
| Upside | 42.68% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -2.88% | 0.00% | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 125.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -61.60% | 203.40% | 300.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.54% | 3.56% | 2.45% | 1.50% | 2.36% | 22.35% | 2.85% | 0.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 112.31 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 96.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 16.31 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 22.46 | 14.04 | 8.42 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 16.31 | 16.31 | 16.31 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -22.46 | -14.04 | -8.42 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -6.15 | 2.27 | 7.89 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 607.82 | 607.82 | 607.82 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.43% | 6.43% | 6.43% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $1.72 | $2.16 | $2.66 |
| Upside / Downside | -23.25% | -3.78% | 18.73% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 112.31 | 111.19 | 110.08 | 108.98 | 107.89 | 106.81 | 110.01 |
| Payout Ratio | 85.48% | 86.38% | 87.29% | 88.19% | 89.10% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 96.00 | 96.05 | 96.08 | 96.11 | 96.12 | 96.13 | 101.76 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.43% | 6.43% | 6.43% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 89.33 | 90.25 | 91.16 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 83.12 | 84.83 | 86.55 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 77.34 | 79.73 | 82.17 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 71.94 | 74.92 | 78.00 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 66.92 | 70.40 | 74.03 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 2,067.46 | 2,175.12 | 2,287.21 |
| Equity Value (M) | 2,456.11 | 2,575.24 | 2,699.12 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 607.82 | 607.82 | 607.82 |
| Fair Value | $4.04 | $4.24 | $4.44 |
| Upside / Downside | 80.39% | 89.14% | 98.24% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |