Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $33.17 - $63.80 | $45.43 |
| Multi-Stage | $31.37 - $34.29 | $32.80 |
| Blended Fair Value | $39.12 | |
| Current Price | $52.08 | |
| Upside | -24.89% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 1.75% | 1.16% | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.61% | 2.26% | 3.03% | 1.92% | 0.96% | 0.70% | 0.61% | 0.42% | 0.49% | 0.66% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.31% | 1.00% | 0.74% | 0.50% | 0.56% | 1.27% | 0.87% | 1.13% | 1.61% | 1.70% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 64.07 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 24.73 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 39.34 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 12.81 | 8.01 | 4.81 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 39.34 | 39.34 | 39.34 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -12.81 | -8.01 | -4.81 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 26.52 | 31.33 | 34.53 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 31.09 | 31.09 | 31.09 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.85 | 1.01 | 1.11 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.85 | 1.01 | 1.11 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 3.93% | 4.93% | 5.93% |
| Fair Value | $33.17 | $45.43 | $63.80 |
| Upside / Downside | -36.30% | -12.78% | 22.50% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 64.07 | 67.23 | 70.55 | 74.03 | 77.68 | 81.51 | 83.96 |
| Payout Ratio | 38.60% | 48.88% | 59.16% | 69.44% | 79.72% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 24.73 | 32.86 | 41.74 | 51.41 | 61.93 | 73.36 | 77.66 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 3.93% | 4.93% | 5.93% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 29.84 | 30.12 | 30.41 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 34.40 | 35.07 | 35.74 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 38.47 | 39.59 | 40.73 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 42.07 | 43.71 | 45.40 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 45.25 | 47.47 | 49.77 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 785.48 | 824.00 | 864.02 |
| Equity Value (M) | 975.50 | 1,019.95 | 1,066.07 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 31.09 | 31.09 | 31.09 |
| Fair Value | $31.37 | $32.80 | $34.29 |
| Upside / Downside | -39.76% | -37.01% | -34.16% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |