Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $54.52 - $90.16 | $70.31 |
| Multi-Stage | $73.53 - $80.71 | $77.05 |
| Blended Fair Value | $73.68 | |
| Current Price | $134.84 | |
| Upside | -45.36% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -0.18% | -0.61% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.86% | 0.77% | -0.13% | -0.17% | -2.22% | 0.00% | 0.36% | -4.50% | -1.33% | 0.37% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.61% | 0.97% | 1.24% | 1.92% | 2.64% | 5.32% | 6.12% | 5.27% | 3.77% | 4.20% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 21.16 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 3.07 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 18.10 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 4.23 | 2.65 | 1.59 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 18.10 | 18.10 | 18.10 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -4.23 | -2.65 | -1.59 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 13.86 | 15.45 | 16.51 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 4.51 | 4.51 | 4.51 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 3.07 | 3.43 | 3.66 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 3.07 | 3.43 | 3.66 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3.75 | 4.11 | 4.34 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.14% | 8.14% | 8.14% |
| Growth Rate | 1.17% | 2.17% | 3.17% |
| Fair Value | $54.52 | $70.31 | $90.16 |
| Upside / Downside | -59.57% | -47.86% | -33.13% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 21.16 | 21.62 | 22.09 | 22.57 | 23.06 | 23.56 | 24.27 |
| Payout Ratio | 14.50% | 29.60% | 44.70% | 59.80% | 74.90% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 3.07 | 6.40 | 9.88 | 13.50 | 17.27 | 21.21 | 22.45 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.14% | 8.14% | 8.14% |
| Growth Rate | 1.17% | 2.17% | 3.17% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 5.86 | 5.92 | 5.98 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 8.28 | 8.44 | 8.61 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 10.36 | 10.67 | 10.99 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 12.14 | 12.63 | 13.13 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 13.65 | 14.34 | 15.06 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 281.28 | 295.46 | 310.20 |
| Equity Value (M) | 331.58 | 347.47 | 363.97 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 4.51 | 4.51 | 4.51 |
| Fair Value | $73.53 | $77.05 | $80.71 |
| Upside / Downside | -45.47% | -42.86% | -40.15% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |