Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $84.05 - $120.96 | $102.06 |
| Multi-Stage | $139.62 - $153.14 | $146.25 |
| Blended Fair Value | $124.16 | |
| Current Price | $47.29 | |
| Upside | 162.54% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -17.47% | 0.00% | 2.80 | 2.34 | 1.96 | 3.05 | 6.21 | 7.30 | 7.26 | 7.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 19.47% | 19.56% | -35.77% | -50.98% | -14.85% | 0.58% | 2.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.29% | 6.54% | 7.33% | 18.68% | 12.42% | 12.24% | 11.38% | 9.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 159.09 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 74.40 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 84.69 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 31.82 | 19.89 | 11.93 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 84.69 | 84.69 | 84.69 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -31.82 | -19.89 | -11.93 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 52.87 | 64.80 | 72.76 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 13.37 | 13.37 | 13.37 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 3.95 | 4.85 | 5.44 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 5.56 | 5.56 | 5.56 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 3.95 | 4.85 | 5.44 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 9.52 | 10.41 | 11.01 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $84.05 | $102.06 | $120.96 |
| Upside / Downside | 77.73% | 115.82% | 155.79% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 159.09 | 157.49 | 155.92 | 154.36 | 152.82 | 151.29 | 155.83 |
| Payout Ratio | 46.76% | 55.41% | 64.06% | 72.71% | 81.35% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 74.40 | 87.27 | 99.88 | 112.23 | 124.32 | 136.16 | 144.14 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 79.18 | 79.99 | 80.80 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 82.23 | 83.92 | 85.62 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 83.84 | 86.43 | 89.07 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 84.26 | 87.76 | 91.36 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 83.74 | 88.10 | 92.64 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,453.68 | 1,529.38 | 1,608.19 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,866.93 | 1,955.57 | 2,047.68 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 13.37 | 13.37 | 13.37 |
| Fair Value | $139.62 | $146.25 | $153.14 |
| Upside / Downside | 195.25% | 209.27% | 223.83% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |