Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Coca-Cola Içecek Anonim Sirketi (CCOLA.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$271.13 - $998.71$830.90
Multi-Stage$124.69 - $136.47$130.47
Blended Fair Value$480.69
Current Price$46.00
Upside944.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS52.50%40.09%0.880.390.220.250.090.110.080.030.010.04
YoY Growth--125.05%74.91%-11.72%197.89%-20.34%30.34%211.62%146.21%-70.05%17.91%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.72%1.21%2.39%1.37%3.37%2.92%0.81%0.33%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,051.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,516.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,535.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,810.261,756.421,053.85
Cash Retained (M)10,535.1110,535.1110,535.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,810.26-1,756.42-1,053.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,724.848,778.699,481.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,798.082,798.082,798.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.763.143.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.261.261.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.763.143.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.024.394.65
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$271.13$830.90$998.71
Upside / Downside489.42%1,706.31%2,071.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,051.3214,964.6615,937.3616,973.2918,076.5519,251.5319,829.07
Payout Ratio25.02%38.02%51.01%64.01%77.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,516.215,689.458,130.3610,864.5413,919.8217,326.3818,341.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,264.215,314.115,364.00
Year 2 PV (M)6,960.417,092.997,226.81
Year 3 PV (M)8,605.968,853.009,104.73
Year 4 PV (M)10,201.9710,594.3110,997.85
Year 5 PV (M)11,749.5412,317.0512,906.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)306,117.83320,903.44336,254.92
Equity Value (M)348,899.91365,074.89381,854.60
Shares Outstanding (M)2,798.082,798.082,798.08
Fair Value$124.69$130.47$136.47
Upside / Downside171.07%183.64%196.67%

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