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BlueVenture Group Public Company Limited (BVG.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.25 - $1.91$1.56
Multi-Stage$2.36 - $2.59$2.47
Blended Fair Value$2.01
Current Price$1.77
Upside13.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.74%0.00%0.080.070.160.120.090.080.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--23.95%-58.56%37.73%31.74%11.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.35%1.26%2.28%3.05%2.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.437.774.66
Cash Retained (M)25.6825.6825.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.43-7.77-4.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.2517.9121.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate-1.32%-0.32%0.68%
Fair Value$1.25$1.56$1.91
Upside / Downside-29.56%-12.13%7.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.1361.9361.7361.5361.3461.1462.97
Payout Ratio58.67%64.94%71.20%77.47%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.4540.2143.9547.6751.3655.0358.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate-1.32%-0.32%0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)37.0637.4337.81
Year 2 PV (M)37.3338.0938.86
Year 3 PV (M)37.3138.4539.62
Year 4 PV (M)37.0438.5740.14
Year 5 PV (M)36.5838.4740.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)875.52920.79967.91
Equity Value (M)1,060.831,111.801,164.77
Shares Outstanding (M)450.00450.00450.00
Fair Value$2.36$2.47$2.59
Upside / Downside33.19%39.59%46.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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