Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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AngloGold Ashanti Plc (AU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$374.65 - $907.42$850.39
Multi-Stage$134.32 - $146.91$140.50
Blended Fair Value$495.44
Current Price$83.31
Upside494.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS55.31%30.53%0.490.220.410.490.100.050.050.080.030.01
YoY Growth--128.04%-47.29%-15.42%410.64%74.07%12.50%-38.46%160.00%200.00%-70.59%
Dividend Yield--2.14%1.19%2.12%2.32%0.42%0.24%0.39%0.75%0.29%0.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,251.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,266.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)985.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)450.20281.38168.83
Cash Retained (M)985.00985.00985.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-450.20-281.38-168.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)534.80703.63816.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)493.34493.34493.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.081.431.65
LTM Dividend per Share2.572.572.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.081.431.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$374.65$850.39$907.42
Upside / Downside349.71%920.75%989.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,251.002,397.322,553.142,719.092,895.843,084.073,176.59
Payout Ratio56.24%62.99%69.75%76.50%83.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,266.001,510.151,780.692,080.022,410.742,775.662,938.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,404.301,417.611,430.92
Year 2 PV (M)1,539.811,569.141,598.74
Year 3 PV (M)1,672.571,720.591,769.51
Year 4 PV (M)1,802.631,871.961,943.26
Year 5 PV (M)1,930.032,023.252,120.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,914.2460,711.5263,615.85
Equity Value (M)66,263.5869,314.0672,478.33
Shares Outstanding (M)493.34493.34493.34
Fair Value$134.32$140.50$146.91
Upside / Downside61.22%68.65%76.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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