Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $3.01 - $4.65 | $3.77 |
| Multi-Stage | $7.03 - $7.72 | $7.36 |
| Blended Fair Value | $5.57 | |
| Current Price | $3.44 | |
| Upside | 61.89% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.45 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -44.85% | 232.07% | 118.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 9.33% | 9.44% | 2.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 604.98 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 570.28 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 34.70 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 121.00 | 75.62 | 45.37 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 34.70 | 34.70 | 34.70 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -121.00 | -75.62 | -45.37 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -86.29 | -40.92 | -10.67 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,847.95 | 1,847.95 | 1,847.95 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.05 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.05 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.52% | 6.52% | 6.52% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $3.01 | $3.77 | $4.65 |
| Upside / Downside | -12.39% | 9.68% | 35.09% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 604.98 | 598.93 | 592.94 | 587.01 | 581.14 | 575.33 | 592.59 |
| Payout Ratio | 94.26% | 93.41% | 92.56% | 91.71% | 90.85% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 570.28 | 559.47 | 548.82 | 538.32 | 527.98 | 517.80 | 548.15 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.52% | 6.52% | 6.52% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 519.93 | 525.24 | 530.54 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 473.99 | 483.72 | 493.54 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 432.08 | 445.44 | 459.07 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 393.83 | 410.16 | 426.98 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 358.94 | 377.63 | 397.10 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 10,805.20 | 11,367.85 | 11,953.70 |
| Equity Value (M) | 12,983.98 | 13,610.04 | 14,260.93 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,847.95 | 1,847.95 | 1,847.95 |
| Fair Value | $7.03 | $7.36 | $7.72 |
| Upside / Downside | 104.25% | 114.10% | 124.34% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |