Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $78.40 - $207.98 | $119.88 |
| Multi-Stage | $54.50 - $59.50 | $56.96 |
| Blended Fair Value | $88.42 | |
| Current Price | $44.04 | |
| Upside | 100.77% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 9.13% | 8.77% | 1.09 | 0.99 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 10.42% | 6.42% | 1.66% | 3.26% | 25.51% | 10.53% | 19.64% | 8.12% | 0.41% | 4.28% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.65% | 2.76% | 2.85% | 2.61% | 3.02% | 2.35% | 1.70% | 1.82% | 1.71% | 2.19% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 32.84 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 12.37 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 20.47 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 6.57 | 4.11 | 2.46 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 20.47 | 20.47 | 20.47 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -6.57 | -4.11 | -2.46 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 13.90 | 16.37 | 18.01 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 9.83 | 9.83 | 9.83 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1.42 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1.42 | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.67 | 2.92 | 3.09 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $78.40 | $119.88 | $207.98 |
| Upside / Downside | 78.02% | 172.21% | 372.24% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 32.84 | 34.98 | 37.25 | 39.67 | 42.25 | 45.00 | 46.34 |
| Payout Ratio | 37.66% | 48.13% | 58.60% | 69.07% | 79.53% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 12.37 | 16.83 | 21.83 | 27.40 | 33.60 | 40.50 | 42.87 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 15.29 | 15.43 | 15.58 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 18.00 | 18.34 | 18.68 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 20.51 | 21.10 | 21.70 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 22.84 | 23.72 | 24.62 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 24.99 | 26.20 | 27.45 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 433.90 | 454.85 | 476.61 |
| Equity Value (M) | 535.52 | 559.64 | 584.65 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 9.83 | 9.83 | 9.83 |
| Fair Value | $54.50 | $56.96 | $59.50 |
| Upside / Downside | 23.75% | 29.33% | 35.11% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |