Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $24.92 - $43.81 | $32.95 |
| Multi-Stage | $27.37 - $29.90 | $28.61 |
| Blended Fair Value | $30.78 | |
| Current Price | $46.13 | |
| Upside | -33.27% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.44% | 5.03% | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -1.74% | 10.79% | 1.76% | 3.45% | 3.35% | 3.70% | 16.46% | 7.05% | 2.50% | 4.05% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.68% | 2.23% | 1.75% | 1.94% | 2.04% | 1.98% | 2.13% | 1.65% | 1.45% | 1.90% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 115.90 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 63.50 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 52.40 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 23.18 | 14.49 | 8.69 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 52.40 | 52.40 | 52.40 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -23.18 | -14.49 | -8.69 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 29.22 | 37.91 | 43.71 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 63.13 | 63.13 | 63.13 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.46 | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.46 | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.47 | 1.61 | 1.70 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 3.03% | 4.03% | 5.03% |
| Fair Value | $24.92 | $32.95 | $43.81 |
| Upside / Downside | -45.97% | -28.57% | -5.04% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 115.90 | 120.57 | 125.42 | 130.47 | 135.72 | 141.19 | 145.42 |
| Payout Ratio | 54.79% | 61.83% | 68.87% | 75.92% | 82.96% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 63.50 | 74.55 | 86.38 | 99.05 | 112.59 | 127.07 | 134.52 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | 3.03% | 4.03% | 5.03% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 67.67 | 68.33 | 68.99 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 71.19 | 72.57 | 73.98 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 74.10 | 76.28 | 78.50 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 76.46 | 79.48 | 82.58 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 78.34 | 82.22 | 86.24 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,359.96 | 1,427.26 | 1,497.19 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,727.72 | 1,806.13 | 1,887.47 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 63.13 | 63.13 | 63.13 |
| Fair Value | $27.37 | $28.61 | $29.90 |
| Upside / Downside | -40.67% | -37.98% | -35.18% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |