Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $40.93 - $81.24 | $56.72 |
| Multi-Stage | $63.79 - $70.05 | $66.86 |
| Blended Fair Value | $61.79 | |
| Current Price | $7.11 | |
| Upside | 769.06% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 3.39% | 0.00% | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.15 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 50.00% | 166.66% | -59.46% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 600.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.40% | 5.74% | 2.00% | 3.79% | 0.00% | 5.15% | 0.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 342.61 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 140.26 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 202.35 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 68.52 | 42.83 | 25.70 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 202.35 | 202.35 | 202.35 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -68.52 | -42.83 | -25.70 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 133.83 | 159.53 | 176.66 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 137.84 | 137.84 | 137.84 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.97 | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.97 | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.99 | 2.17 | 2.30 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 1.39% | 2.39% | 3.39% |
| Fair Value | $40.93 | $56.72 | $81.24 |
| Upside / Downside | 475.62% | 697.73% | 1,042.57% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 342.61 | 350.81 | 359.20 | 367.79 | 376.59 | 385.60 | 397.17 |
| Payout Ratio | 40.94% | 50.75% | 60.56% | 70.38% | 80.19% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 140.26 | 178.04 | 217.54 | 258.83 | 301.98 | 347.04 | 367.38 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.32% | 6.32% | 6.32% |
| Growth Rate | 1.39% | 2.39% | 3.39% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 165.82 | 167.45 | 169.09 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 188.71 | 192.45 | 196.23 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 209.13 | 215.37 | 221.75 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 227.24 | 236.34 | 245.71 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 243.23 | 255.47 | 268.19 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 7,759.14 | 8,149.39 | 8,555.19 |
| Equity Value (M) | 8,793.27 | 9,216.48 | 9,656.15 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 137.84 | 137.84 | 137.84 |
| Fair Value | $63.79 | $66.86 | $70.05 |
| Upside / Downside | 797.20% | 840.39% | 885.25% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |