Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Konami Group Corporation (9766.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$105,568.04 - $124,377.03$116,559.50
Multi-Stage$75,990.94 - $83,400.37$79,626.47
Blended Fair Value$98,092.98
Current Price$21,350.00
Upside359.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.51%17.87%134.91123.90147.5485.5228.98103.1698.1470.7529.3923.50
YoY Growth--8.88%-16.02%72.52%195.06%-71.90%5.12%38.72%140.71%25.09%-9.82%
Dividend Yield--0.59%1.08%1.96%1.14%0.43%2.87%1.91%1.25%0.47%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84,777.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,418.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)62,359.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,955.4010,597.136,358.28
Cash Retained (M)62,359.0062,359.0062,359.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,955.40-10,597.13-6,358.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)45,403.6051,761.8856,000.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)135.56135.56135.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share334.94381.85413.12
LTM Dividend per Share165.38165.38165.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share334.94381.85413.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend500.32547.23578.50
WACC / Discount Rate1.12%1.12%1.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$105,568.04$116,559.50$124,377.03
Upside / Downside394.46%445.95%482.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84,777.0090,287.5196,156.19102,406.35109,062.76116,151.84119,636.39
Payout Ratio26.44%39.15%51.87%64.58%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,418.0035,351.8949,872.4666,131.3584,293.19104,536.65110,663.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.12%1.12%1.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34,631.8734,960.1435,288.40
Year 2 PV (M)47,861.6448,773.2749,693.50
Year 3 PV (M)62,172.3863,957.1265,775.70
Year 4 PV (M)77,632.9280,618.4683,689.30
Year 5 PV (M)94,316.0098,871.50103,601.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,984,397.0010,466,647.1110,967,354.07
Equity Value (M)10,301,011.8110,793,827.6011,305,402.31
Shares Outstanding (M)135.56135.56135.56
Fair Value$75,990.94$79,626.47$83,400.37
Upside / Downside255.93%272.96%290.63%

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