Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Fujita Kanko Inc. (9722.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,868.61 - $25,391.69$17,794.60
Multi-Stage$19,950.16 - $21,940.34$20,926.12
Blended Fair Value$19,360.36
Current Price$10,490.00
Upside84.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.72%3.30%55.3266.4213.020.0030.0439.9739.9739.9739.9739.97
YoY Growth---16.71%410.26%0.00%-100.00%-24.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.57%0.90%0.39%0.00%1.56%2.56%1.46%1.25%1.15%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,457.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)559.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,898.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,891.401,182.13709.28
Cash Retained (M)8,898.008,898.008,898.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,891.40-1,182.13-709.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,006.607,715.888,188.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9811.9811.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share584.65643.84683.29
LTM Dividend per Share46.6446.6446.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share584.65643.84683.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend631.30690.48729.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$12,868.61$17,794.60$25,391.69
Upside / Downside22.68%69.63%142.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,457.009,674.909,897.8310,125.8910,359.2110,597.9010,915.84
Payout Ratio5.91%22.73%39.55%56.36%73.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)559.002,198.993,914.255,707.407,581.109,538.1110,097.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)2,048.942,069.172,089.40
Year 2 PV (M)3,398.323,465.743,533.82
Year 3 PV (M)4,617.014,755.094,895.90
Year 4 PV (M)5,714.295,943.286,179.09
Year 5 PV (M)6,698.857,036.077,386.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)216,609.16227,513.35238,852.32
Equity Value (M)239,086.56250,782.70262,937.27
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9811.9811.98
Fair Value$19,950.16$20,926.12$21,940.34
Upside / Downside90.18%99.49%109.15%

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