Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $54.44 - $121.52 | $113.88 |
| Multi-Stage | $18.41 - $20.14 | $19.26 |
| Blended Fair Value | $66.57 | |
| Current Price | $3.20 | |
| Upside | 1,980.31% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 127.62% | 0.00% | 0.34 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 117.73% | 22.07% | 512.88% | 2,740.47% | -86.79% | -97.53% | 413.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 11.45% | 4.94% | 4.28% | 0.69% | 0.02% | 0.10% | 4.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 392.13 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 216.07 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 176.06 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 78.43 | 49.02 | 29.41 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 176.06 | 176.06 | 176.06 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -78.43 | -49.02 | -29.41 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 97.63 | 127.04 | 146.65 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 641.73 | 641.73 | 641.73 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.45% | 6.45% | 6.45% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $54.44 | $113.88 | $121.52 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,601.19% | 3,458.87% | 3,697.56% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 392.13 | 417.62 | 444.76 | 473.67 | 504.46 | 537.25 | 553.37 |
| Payout Ratio | 55.10% | 62.08% | 69.06% | 76.04% | 83.02% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 216.07 | 259.26 | 307.16 | 360.18 | 418.80 | 483.52 | 511.86 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.45% | 6.45% | 6.45% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 241.27 | 243.56 | 245.85 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 266.01 | 271.08 | 276.19 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 290.29 | 298.62 | 307.11 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 314.11 | 326.19 | 338.62 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 337.49 | 353.79 | 370.71 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 10,363.54 | 10,864.10 | 11,383.82 |
| Equity Value (M) | 11,812.71 | 12,357.34 | 12,922.30 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 641.73 | 641.73 | 641.73 |
| Fair Value | $18.41 | $19.26 | $20.14 |
| Upside / Downside | 475.24% | 501.76% | 529.27% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |