Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

halmek holdings Co.,Ltd. (7119.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$310.55 - $426.53$369.15
Multi-Stage$420.86 - $460.36$440.24
Blended Fair Value$404.69
Current Price$1,085.00
Upside-62.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)619.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)400.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.8077.3846.43
Cash Retained (M)400.00400.00400.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.80-77.38-46.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)276.20322.63353.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.0211.0211.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.0729.2932.09
LTM Dividend per Share19.8819.8819.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.0729.2932.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend44.9549.1651.97
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$310.55$369.15$426.53
Upside / Downside-71.38%-65.98%-60.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)619.00612.81606.68600.62594.61588.66606.32
Payout Ratio35.38%46.30%57.23%68.15%79.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)219.00283.75347.19409.33470.19529.80560.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.19%12.19%12.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)250.38252.93255.49
Year 2 PV (M)270.32275.87281.47
Year 3 PV (M)281.22289.91298.79
Year 4 PV (M)285.03296.85309.02
Year 5 PV (M)283.39298.15313.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,266.143,436.223,613.30
Equity Value (M)4,636.484,849.925,071.58
Shares Outstanding (M)11.0211.0211.02
Fair Value$420.86$440.24$460.36
Upside / Downside-61.21%-59.42%-57.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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