Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Assure Tech (Hangzhou) Co., Ltd. (688075.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.33 - $59.09$34.12
Multi-Stage$15.64 - $17.07$16.34
Blended Fair Value$25.23
Current Price$38.91
Upside-35.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS279.29%0.00%0.803.591.880.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---77.65%91.22%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-59.26%-17.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.02%10.35%3.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)68.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.1715.119.07
Cash Retained (M)68.0668.0668.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.17-15.11-9.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.8952.9558.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.72126.72126.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.420.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.420.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.33$34.12$59.09
Upside / Downside-42.61%-12.31%51.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.87128.73137.09146.01155.50165.60170.57
Payout Ratio43.69%52.95%62.21%71.48%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.8168.1785.29104.36125.54149.04157.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)61.8962.4863.06
Year 2 PV (M)70.3171.6573.00
Year 3 PV (M)78.1180.3582.64
Year 4 PV (M)85.3288.6091.97
Year 5 PV (M)91.9696.40101.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,594.601,671.621,751.59
Equity Value (M)1,982.192,071.102,163.28
Shares Outstanding (M)126.72126.72126.72
Fair Value$15.64$16.34$17.07
Upside / Downside-59.80%-58.00%-56.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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