Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

VisEra Technologies Company Ltd. (6789.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.32 - $50.29$42.68
Multi-Stage$53.85 - $59.15$56.45
Blended Fair Value$49.57
Current Price$231.50
Upside-78.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-11.47%0.00%0.991.981.841.830.001.830.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---49.81%7.56%0.76%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.46%0.64%0.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,675.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)316.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,359.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)335.20209.50125.70
Cash Retained (M)1,359.261,359.261,359.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-335.20-209.50-125.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,024.061,149.761,233.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)318.52318.52318.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.223.613.87
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.223.613.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.214.604.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$35.32$42.68$50.29
Upside / Downside-84.74%-81.56%-78.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,675.991,659.231,642.631,626.211,609.941,593.851,641.66
Payout Ratio18.90%33.12%47.34%61.56%75.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)316.72549.51777.601,001.081,220.011,434.461,518.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)495.96501.02506.08
Year 2 PV (M)633.43646.42659.54
Year 3 PV (M)736.00758.76781.99
Year 4 PV (M)809.55843.10877.68
Year 5 PV (M)859.09903.82950.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,617.7414,326.8515,065.20
Equity Value (M)17,151.7617,979.9718,840.89
Shares Outstanding (M)318.52318.52318.52
Fair Value$53.85$56.45$59.15
Upside / Downside-76.74%-75.62%-74.45%

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