Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WinWay Technology Co., Ltd. (6515.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$874.61 - $1,946.99$1,262.94
Multi-Stage$632.67 - $690.88$661.25
Blended Fair Value$962.09
Current Price$1,295.00
Upside-25.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162014
DPS21.54%15.76%10.5321.0310.4812.2610.223.973.577.150.003.14
YoY Growth---49.90%100.55%-14.48%20.01%157.26%11.11%-50.00%0.00%-100.00%28.96%
Dividend Yield--1.10%2.91%1.46%2.76%2.67%1.44%0.63%1.25%0.00%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,579.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)377.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,201.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)315.95197.47118.48
Cash Retained (M)1,201.781,201.781,201.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-315.95-197.47-118.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)885.821,004.311,083.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.8835.8835.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.6927.9930.19
LTM Dividend per Share10.5310.5310.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.6927.9930.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.2238.5240.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$874.61$1,262.94$1,946.99
Upside / Downside-32.46%-2.48%50.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,579.751,682.441,791.801,908.262,032.302,164.402,229.33
Payout Ratio23.93%37.14%50.36%63.57%76.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)377.98624.88902.271,213.091,560.511,947.962,062.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.75%9.75%9.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)564.02569.37574.72
Year 2 PV (M)735.10749.10763.24
Year 3 PV (M)892.09917.69943.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,035.811,075.651,116.62
Year 5 PV (M)1,167.081,223.451,281.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,307.4419,191.7020,109.80
Equity Value (M)22,701.5523,726.9624,790.14
Shares Outstanding (M)35.8835.8835.88
Fair Value$632.67$661.25$690.88
Upside / Downside-51.15%-48.94%-46.65%

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