Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Aker Technology Co., Ltd (6174.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.06 - $9.10$7.50
Multi-Stage$11.68 - $12.86$12.26
Blended Fair Value$9.88
Current Price$19.50
Upside-49.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-32.51%0.00%0.142.691.600.000.001.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---94.81%68.75%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.63%11.94%5.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.254.532.72
Cash Retained (M)29.2429.2429.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.25-4.53-2.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.0024.7126.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.1250.1250.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.490.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.06$7.50$9.10
Upside / Downside-68.91%-61.54%-53.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.2435.8835.5235.1734.8234.4735.50
Payout Ratio19.31%33.45%47.59%61.73%75.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.0012.0016.9021.7126.4131.0232.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.0711.1811.29
Year 2 PV (M)14.3714.6714.97
Year 3 PV (M)17.0217.5518.08
Year 4 PV (M)19.1019.8920.70
Year 5 PV (M)20.6821.7622.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)503.08529.28556.56
Equity Value (M)585.32614.32644.48
Shares Outstanding (M)50.1250.1250.12
Fair Value$11.68$12.26$12.86
Upside / Downside-40.11%-37.15%-34.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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