Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Quick Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (603203.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$168.74 - $198.81$186.31
Multi-Stage$119.70 - $131.34$125.42
Blended Fair Value$155.86
Current Price$32.73
Upside376.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.92%17.30%0.601.011.000.510.130.190.160.170.330.24
YoY Growth---40.09%0.56%97.96%281.38%-30.41%17.71%-2.93%-50.00%41.18%93.18%
Dividend Yield--2.40%4.97%2.92%2.23%0.82%1.17%0.99%0.89%1.57%2.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)247.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.5530.9718.58
Cash Retained (M)120.07120.07120.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.55-30.97-18.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.5289.10101.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.83247.83247.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.360.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.360.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$168.74$186.31$198.81
Upside / Downside415.57%469.25%507.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)247.75263.86281.01299.27318.73339.44349.63
Payout Ratio51.54%59.23%66.92%74.61%82.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.68156.28188.05223.30262.33305.50323.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.51%1.51%1.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)152.50153.95155.39
Year 2 PV (M)179.08182.49185.93
Year 3 PV (M)207.51213.47219.54
Year 4 PV (M)237.90247.05256.46
Year 5 PV (M)270.35283.41296.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,619.5430,001.8831,437.12
Equity Value (M)29,666.8831,082.2432,551.40
Shares Outstanding (M)247.83247.83247.83
Fair Value$119.70$125.42$131.34
Upside / Downside265.73%283.18%301.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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