Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Yiwu Huading Nylon Co.,Ltd. (601113.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.16 - $7.36$5.52
Multi-Stage$23.59 - $26.10$24.82
Blended Fair Value$15.17
Current Price$4.21
Upside260.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.95%-1.14%0.080.030.030.050.060.160.050.080.080.07
YoY Growth--129.12%4.70%-40.42%-2.51%-64.12%193.08%-30.92%-4.42%14.08%-19.23%
Dividend Yield--1.81%1.03%0.85%1.24%1.73%6.17%0.61%1.12%1.56%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)352.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)77.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.4344.0226.41
Cash Retained (M)275.09275.09275.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.43-44.02-26.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)204.66231.07248.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.581,090.581,090.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate2.87%2.87%2.87%
Growth Rate-3.14%-2.14%-1.14%
Fair Value$4.16$5.52$7.36
Upside / Downside-1.14%31.04%74.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)352.16344.61337.22329.99322.91315.99325.47
Payout Ratio21.89%35.51%49.13%62.75%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)77.07122.37165.68207.08246.63284.39301.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.87%2.87%2.87%
Growth Rate-3.14%-2.14%-1.14%
Year 1 PV (M)117.74118.96120.17
Year 2 PV (M)153.39156.57159.79
Year 3 PV (M)184.47190.25196.14
Year 4 PV (M)211.40220.26229.41
Year 5 PV (M)234.54246.90259.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,829.1126,137.6227,500.71
Equity Value (M)25,730.6627,070.5628,466.00
Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.581,090.581,090.58
Fair Value$23.59$24.82$26.10
Upside / Downside460.42%489.60%519.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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