Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Material Trading Co., Ltd. (600822.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.17 - $0.22$0.20
Multi-Stage$0.33 - $0.37$0.35
Blended Fair Value$0.27
Current Price$11.08
Upside-97.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.57%-36.59%0.010.000.010.010.020.010.020.050.000.42
YoY Growth--74.09%-56.79%-33.27%-35.63%108.85%-53.55%-51.33%0.00%-100.00%-37.56%
Dividend Yield--0.08%0.04%0.11%0.16%0.22%0.12%0.20%0.38%0.00%2.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.903.061.84
Cash Retained (M)21.9821.9821.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.90-3.06-1.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.0918.9220.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)495.86495.86495.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.040.05
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-11.15%-10.15%-9.15%
Fair Value$0.17$0.20$0.22
Upside / Downside-98.46%-98.21%-97.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.4822.0019.7717.7615.9614.3414.77
Payout Ratio10.21%26.17%42.13%58.08%74.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.505.768.3310.3211.8212.9013.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-11.15%-10.15%-9.15%
Year 1 PV (M)5.205.265.32
Year 2 PV (M)6.806.967.11
Year 3 PV (M)7.627.888.14
Year 4 PV (M)7.898.258.62
Year 5 PV (M)7.798.238.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)128.73136.14143.89
Equity Value (M)164.03172.72181.79
Shares Outstanding (M)495.86495.86495.86
Fair Value$0.33$0.35$0.37
Upside / Downside-97.01%-96.86%-96.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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