Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Arcplus Group PLC (600629.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.83 - $57.58$53.94
Multi-Stage$30.45 - $33.55$31.97
Blended Fair Value$42.95
Current Price$28.69
Upside49.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.11%-1.88%0.150.030.120.050.130.120.100.020.010.01
YoY Growth--432.80%-76.69%124.92%-58.32%0.11%23.41%312.38%165.18%47.91%-96.44%
Dividend Yield--1.85%0.51%2.25%0.76%2.49%2.33%1.29%0.28%0.08%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)124.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)173.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.5737.2322.34
Cash Retained (M)173.86173.86173.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.57-37.23-22.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)114.29136.63151.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)986.72986.72986.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate0.68%0.68%0.68%
Growth Rate1.11%2.11%3.11%
Fair Value$48.83$53.94$57.58
Upside / Downside70.21%88.01%100.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.86304.14310.54317.08323.76330.58340.50
Payout Ratio41.63%51.30%60.98%70.65%80.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)124.00156.03189.36224.03260.07297.53314.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.68%0.68%0.68%
Growth Rate1.11%2.11%3.11%
Year 1 PV (M)153.46154.98156.49
Year 2 PV (M)183.16186.80190.48
Year 3 PV (M)213.11219.50226.01
Year 4 PV (M)243.31253.08263.14
Year 5 PV (M)273.76287.57301.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,980.2730,442.0531,962.24
Equity Value (M)30,047.0631,543.9733,100.29
Shares Outstanding (M)986.72986.72986.72
Fair Value$30.45$31.97$33.55
Upside / Downside6.14%11.43%16.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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