Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daito Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (4577.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,045.27 - $1,742.68$1,352.54
Multi-Stage$1,230.50 - $1,349.16$1,288.71
Blended Fair Value$1,320.63
Current Price$1,232.00
Upside7.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.73%7.91%43.9239.9140.9729.0428.9622.0919.8318.1516.5116.48
YoY Growth--10.03%-2.58%41.06%0.29%31.07%11.39%9.25%9.94%0.18%-19.64%
Dividend Yield--3.56%3.36%3.58%2.40%1.76%1.41%1.42%1.25%1.31%1.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,987.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)232.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,755.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)397.40248.38149.03
Cash Retained (M)1,755.001,755.001,755.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-397.40-248.38-149.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,357.601,506.631,605.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.7322.7322.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.7466.3070.67
LTM Dividend per Share10.2110.2110.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.7466.3070.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend69.9576.5180.88
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Fair Value$1,045.27$1,352.54$1,742.68
Upside / Downside-15.16%9.78%41.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,987.002,047.522,109.882,174.142,240.362,308.602,377.86
Payout Ratio11.68%27.34%43.01%58.67%74.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)232.00559.81907.371,275.581,665.382,077.742,199.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Year 1 PV (M)509.19514.18519.17
Year 2 PV (M)750.69765.47780.40
Year 3 PV (M)959.89988.391,017.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,139.901,185.241,231.93
Year 5 PV (M)1,293.551,358.191,425.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,310.2924,475.0525,685.90
Equity Value (M)27,963.5229,286.5230,660.23
Shares Outstanding (M)22.7322.7322.73
Fair Value$1,230.50$1,288.71$1,349.16
Upside / Downside-0.12%4.60%9.51%

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