Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

M - mart Inc. (4380.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$541.12 - $772.16$654.57
Multi-Stage$842.48 - $925.01$882.95
Blended Fair Value$768.76
Current Price$1,280.00
Upside-39.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%17.9913.009.989.975.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--38.35%30.27%0.15%99.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.44%0.97%0.71%1.17%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)389.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)102.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)287.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.9648.7229.23
Cash Retained (M)287.79287.79287.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.96-48.72-29.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)209.83239.07258.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.894.894.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share42.9148.8952.87
LTM Dividend per Share20.8620.8620.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share42.9148.8952.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend63.7669.7473.73
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$541.12$654.57$772.16
Upside / Downside-57.73%-48.86%-39.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)389.79385.89382.03378.21374.43370.69381.81
Payout Ratio26.17%38.93%51.70%64.47%77.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)102.00150.24197.51243.82289.19333.62353.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.55%9.55%9.55%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)135.76137.15138.53
Year 2 PV (M)161.28164.58167.93
Year 3 PV (M)179.90185.46191.14
Year 4 PV (M)192.81200.80209.03
Year 5 PV (M)200.99211.46222.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,249.293,418.493,594.66
Equity Value (M)4,120.034,317.944,523.65
Shares Outstanding (M)4.894.894.89
Fair Value$842.48$882.95$925.01
Upside / Downside-34.18%-31.02%-27.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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