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Nahdi Medical Company (4164.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$106.81 - $216.91$149.28
Multi-Stage$155.88 - $170.73$163.16
Blended Fair Value$156.22
Current Price$119.00
Upside31.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS7.42%0.00%5.505.502.319.694.123.854.234.640.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%138.10%-76.17%135.51%7.00%-9.09%-8.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.74%3.74%1.25%6.25%2.74%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)812.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)728.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)84.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.53101.5860.95
Cash Retained (M)84.6784.6784.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.53-101.58-60.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)-77.87-16.9223.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)130.00130.00130.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.60-0.130.18
LTM Dividend per Share5.605.605.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.60-0.130.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.005.475.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Fair Value$106.81$149.28$216.91
Upside / Downside-10.24%25.45%82.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)812.67835.74859.46883.86908.96934.76962.80
Payout Ratio89.58%89.67%89.75%89.83%89.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)728.00749.37771.36794.00817.30841.28890.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Year 1 PV (M)696.09702.92709.76
Year 2 PV (M)665.58678.71691.97
Year 3 PV (M)636.40655.33674.64
Year 4 PV (M)608.50632.76657.73
Year 5 PV (M)581.83610.96641.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,075.6917,930.6818,819.58
Equity Value (M)20,264.0821,211.3622,194.93
Shares Outstanding (M)130.00130.00130.00
Fair Value$155.88$163.16$170.73
Upside / Downside30.99%37.11%43.47%

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