Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $364.87 - $795.61 | $745.61 |
| Multi-Stage | $122.41 - $133.85 | $128.03 |
| Blended Fair Value | $436.82 | |
| Current Price | $21.53 | |
| Upside | 1,928.88% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 83.54% | 0.00% | 1.83 | 0.94 | 0.40 | 0.79 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 94.76% | 133.40% | -49.20% | 172.90% | 230.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 9.65% | 6.31% | 2.38% | 4.43% | 2.41% | 1.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,105.79 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 764.04 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 341.74 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 221.16 | 138.22 | 82.93 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 341.74 | 341.74 | 341.74 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -221.16 | -138.22 | -82.93 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 120.59 | 203.52 | 258.81 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 276.41 | 276.41 | 276.41 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.44 | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2.76 | 2.76 | 2.76 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.44 | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.43% | 6.43% | 6.43% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $364.87 | $745.61 | $795.61 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,594.69% | 3,363.10% | 3,595.37% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,105.79 | 1,177.66 | 1,254.21 | 1,335.73 | 1,422.56 | 1,515.02 | 1,560.47 |
| Payout Ratio | 69.09% | 73.28% | 77.46% | 81.64% | 85.82% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 764.04 | 862.94 | 971.47 | 1,090.46 | 1,220.82 | 1,363.52 | 1,443.44 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.43% | 6.43% | 6.43% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 803.23 | 810.84 | 818.46 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 841.68 | 857.71 | 873.89 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 879.40 | 904.64 | 930.36 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 916.39 | 951.64 | 987.89 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 952.68 | 998.70 | 1,046.48 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 29,442.46 | 30,864.54 | 32,341.05 |
| Equity Value (M) | 33,835.84 | 35,388.07 | 36,998.12 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 276.41 | 276.41 | 276.41 |
| Fair Value | $122.41 | $128.03 | $133.85 |
| Upside / Downside | 468.57% | 494.65% | 521.71% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |