Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Apex Science & Engineering Corp. (3052.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.78 - $11.09$9.41
Multi-Stage$21.58 - $23.83$22.69
Blended Fair Value$16.05
Current Price$11.20
Upside43.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.02%0.390.390.240.780.500.000.700.310.510.41
YoY Growth--2.00%58.41%-68.75%57.18%0.00%-100.00%125.19%-39.42%23.83%-54.68%
Dividend Yield--3.25%2.93%2.30%7.90%3.91%0.00%8.59%3.63%6.12%4.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)142.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.0830.6718.40
Cash Retained (M)142.20142.20142.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.08-30.67-18.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)93.12111.52123.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)205.36205.36205.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.540.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.540.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-5.23%-4.23%-3.23%
Fair Value$7.78$9.41$11.09
Upside / Downside-30.53%-16.01%-0.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.39235.02225.09215.58206.47197.75203.68
Payout Ratio42.05%51.64%61.23%70.82%80.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.19121.37137.83152.68166.02177.97188.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-5.23%-4.23%-3.23%
Year 1 PV (M)112.86114.05115.24
Year 2 PV (M)119.17121.70124.25
Year 3 PV (M)122.75126.68130.69
Year 4 PV (M)124.12129.44134.94
Year 5 PV (M)123.72130.39137.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,829.954,036.314,251.47
Equity Value (M)4,432.574,658.574,893.93
Shares Outstanding (M)205.36205.36205.36
Fair Value$21.58$22.69$23.83
Upside / Downside92.72%102.55%112.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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