Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Sanyou Corporation Limited (300932.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.55 - $60.76$56.93
Multi-Stage$32.36 - $35.57$33.93
Blended Fair Value$45.43
Current Price$11.03
Upside311.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS44.01%0.00%0.230.100.160.180.020.040.060.060.060.00
YoY Growth--135.31%-39.33%-14.29%659.30%-33.33%-35.73%-2.12%-2.03%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.03%1.43%1.75%1.68%0.17%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.959.345.61
Cash Retained (M)11.6111.6111.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.95-9.34-5.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.342.266.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)238.89238.89238.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Fair Value$51.55$56.93$60.76
Upside / Downside367.34%416.12%450.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.7477.7180.8084.0087.3490.8193.53
Payout Ratio84.47%85.58%86.68%87.79%88.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.1466.5170.0473.7577.6481.7386.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Year 1 PV (M)64.4565.0865.70
Year 2 PV (M)65.7867.0668.36
Year 3 PV (M)67.1269.0971.11
Year 4 PV (M)68.4871.1873.95
Year 5 PV (M)69.8573.3176.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,394.727,760.848,141.31
Equity Value (M)7,730.398,106.558,497.33
Shares Outstanding (M)238.89238.89238.89
Fair Value$32.36$33.93$35.57
Upside / Downside193.38%207.65%222.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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