Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lihe Technology (Hunan) Co., Ltd. (300800.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.11 - $3.53$2.73
Multi-Stage$2.25 - $2.46$2.35
Blended Fair Value$2.54
Current Price$11.48
Upside-77.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.13%24.29%0.180.150.150.170.170.140.120.040.020.01
YoY Growth--19.04%0.68%-10.01%-1.99%21.49%21.49%170.47%117.80%96.54%-51.30%
Dividend Yield--1.76%1.40%1.14%0.85%0.87%0.65%0.48%0.18%0.08%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.065.043.02
Cash Retained (M)21.7921.7921.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.06-5.04-3.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.7416.7618.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.69232.69232.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate3.13%4.13%5.13%
Fair Value$2.11$2.73$3.53
Upside / Downside-81.62%-76.18%-69.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.2841.9543.6845.4947.3649.3250.80
Payout Ratio45.90%54.72%63.54%72.36%81.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.4922.9527.7632.9138.4544.3946.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate3.13%4.13%5.13%
Year 1 PV (M)20.6920.8921.09
Year 2 PV (M)22.5422.9823.42
Year 3 PV (M)24.0924.8025.52
Year 4 PV (M)25.3626.3627.38
Year 5 PV (M)26.3827.6929.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)404.72424.73445.51
Equity Value (M)523.78547.43571.97
Shares Outstanding (M)232.69232.69232.69
Fair Value$2.25$2.35$2.46
Upside / Downside-80.39%-79.51%-78.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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