Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. (300790.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.12 - $130.37$58.73
Multi-Stage$14.60 - $15.96$15.27
Blended Fair Value$37.00
Current Price$33.51
Upside10.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS44.25%0.00%0.240.150.120.170.120.040.030.010.000.00
YoY Growth--58.28%22.09%-28.77%47.00%208.62%16.69%217.08%955.39%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.99%1.18%0.72%0.88%0.92%0.29%0.34%0.11%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)238.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)154.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.6429.7717.86
Cash Retained (M)154.22154.22154.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.64-29.77-17.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)106.58124.44136.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)363.36363.36363.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.340.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.12$58.73$130.37
Upside / Downside-19.07%75.26%289.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)238.20253.68270.17287.73306.43326.35336.14
Payout Ratio35.26%46.20%57.15%68.10%79.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.98117.21154.41195.95242.24293.72310.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)107.97108.99110.02
Year 2 PV (M)131.02133.52136.04
Year 3 PV (M)153.16157.56162.04
Year 4 PV (M)174.41181.12188.02
Year 5 PV (M)194.80204.21213.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,542.064,761.444,989.22
Equity Value (M)5,303.425,546.845,799.31
Shares Outstanding (M)363.36363.36363.36
Fair Value$14.60$15.27$15.96
Upside / Downside-56.44%-54.44%-52.37%

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