Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Shenzhen Jufei Optoelectronics Co., Ltd. (300303.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.57 - $45.88$43.00
Multi-Stage$6.52 - $7.12$6.81
Blended Fair Value$24.91
Current Price$7.19
Upside246.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.25%12.49%0.100.100.100.100.090.040.050.050.030.03
YoY Growth--0.99%-1.27%6.11%1.03%116.27%-18.61%7.25%99.22%-17.24%-2.50%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.89%2.14%1.95%1.94%0.93%1.41%1.60%0.49%0.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)322.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)184.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)137.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.4240.2724.16
Cash Retained (M)137.71137.71137.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.42-40.27-24.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.2997.45113.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,396.281,396.281,396.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.57$43.00$45.88
Upside / Downside130.46%498.01%538.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)322.12343.06365.36389.11414.40441.34454.58
Payout Ratio57.25%63.80%70.35%76.90%83.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)184.41218.87257.03299.22345.82397.20420.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)203.25205.17207.10
Year 2 PV (M)221.65225.87230.13
Year 3 PV (M)239.61246.49253.50
Year 4 PV (M)257.16267.05277.22
Year 5 PV (M)274.29287.54301.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,900.958,282.578,678.79
Equity Value (M)9,096.919,514.699,948.04
Shares Outstanding (M)1,396.281,396.281,396.28
Fair Value$6.52$6.81$7.12
Upside / Downside-9.39%-5.23%-0.91%

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