Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TSP Wind Power Group Co., Ltd Class A (300129.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.78 - $20.12$10.72
Multi-Stage$4.41 - $4.83$4.62
Blended Fair Value$7.67
Current Price$8.08
Upside-5.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.32%13.07%0.070.060.070.080.080.060.060.050.040.04
YoY Growth--21.57%-14.67%-16.38%7.06%26.77%-2.74%20.71%32.02%10.93%68.72%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.74%0.76%1.16%1.08%1.41%1.31%0.88%0.48%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)249.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)233.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.8631.1618.70
Cash Retained (M)233.31233.31233.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.86-31.16-18.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)183.45202.15214.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)935.37935.37935.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.220.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.220.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.78$10.72$20.12
Upside / Downside-16.07%32.67%149.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)249.29265.50282.75301.13320.71341.55351.80
Payout Ratio6.41%23.13%39.85%56.56%73.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.9961.41112.67170.34235.02307.40325.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.9056.4356.96
Year 2 PV (M)93.3795.1596.95
Year 3 PV (M)128.51132.20135.95
Year 4 PV (M)161.41167.62174.00
Year 5 PV (M)192.19201.47211.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,497.633,666.573,841.97
Equity Value (M)4,129.014,319.444,516.95
Shares Outstanding (M)935.37935.37935.37
Fair Value$4.41$4.62$4.83
Upside / Downside-45.37%-42.85%-40.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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