Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Lushang Life Services Co., Ltd. (2376.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.17 - $6.29$5.17
Multi-Stage$8.12 - $8.95$8.52
Blended Fair Value$6.85
Current Price$1.92
Upside256.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%714.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.46%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)70.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.118.825.29
Cash Retained (M)65.9565.9565.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.11-8.82-5.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.8457.1360.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.24144.24144.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.400.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.17$5.17$6.29
Upside / Downside117.34%169.47%227.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)70.5469.8369.1368.4467.7667.0869.09
Payout Ratio6.51%23.21%39.90%56.60%73.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.5916.2127.5938.7449.6760.3763.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9715.1215.27
Year 2 PV (M)23.5324.0124.50
Year 3 PV (M)30.5131.4632.42
Year 4 PV (M)36.1337.6339.17
Year 5 PV (M)40.5642.6744.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,025.231,078.621,134.20
Equity Value (M)1,170.931,229.501,290.43
Shares Outstanding (M)144.24144.24144.24
Fair Value$8.12$8.52$8.95
Upside / Downside322.80%343.95%365.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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